Papers with judgment prediction
Enabling Discriminative Reasoning in LLMs for Legal Judgment Prediction (2024.findings-emnlp)
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| Challenge: | Existing large language models (LLMs) underperform in legal judgment prediction due to challenges in understanding case facts and distinguishing between similar charges. |
| Approach: | They propose a framework that allows LLMs to discriminate among charges and a judicial reasoning framework to improve their models for effective legal judgment prediction. |
| Outcome: | The proposed framework improves accuracy and efficiency when dealing with complex and confusing charges. |
De-Biased Court’s View Generation with Causality (2020.emnlp-main)
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Yiquan Wu, Kun Kuang, Yating Zhang, Xiaozhong Liu, Changlong Sun, Jun Xiao, Yueting Zhuang, Luo Si, Fei Wu
| Challenge: | Existing approaches to court’s view generation can be used to address this problem, but neglecting the confounding bias in data can limit the model performance and pollute learning outcomes. |
| Approach: | They propose a novel Attentional and Counterfactual based Natural Language Generation method consisting of an attentional encoder and a pair of innovative counterfactual decoders to generate judgment-discriminative court's views. |
| Outcome: | The proposed method is able to generate judgment-discriminative court's views (both supportive and non-supportive views) under both quantitative and qualitative evaluation metrics. |
Beyond Guilt: Legal Judgment Prediction with Trichotomous Reasoning (2025.findings-emnlp)
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| Challenge: | Current legal large language models lack trichotomous reasoning capabilities due to the absence of an appropriate benchmark dataset. |
| Approach: | They propose a benchmark dataset for Legal Judgment Prediction with Innocent Verdicts that incorporates trichotomous dogmatics into zero-shot prompting and fine-tuning. |
| Outcome: | The proposed dataset extends three widely-used legal datasets through LLM-based augmentation and manual verification. |
Legal Judgment Reimagined: PredEx and the Rise of Intelligent AI Interpretation in Indian Courts (2024.findings-acl)
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| Challenge: | Prediction with Explanation is the largest expert-annotated dataset for legal judgment prediction and explanation in the Indian context . |
| Approach: | They propose to use an annotated legal judgment prediction corpus to improve models' accuracy . they employ transformer-based models tailored for both general and Indian legal contexts . |
| Outcome: | The proposed system improves the accuracy and explanatory depth of models for legal judgments. |
Legal Judgment Prediction based on Knowledge-enhanced Multi-Task and Multi-Label Text Classification (2025.naacl-long)
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| Challenge: | Legal judgment prediction (LJP) is an essential task for legal AI, aiming at predicting judgments based on the facts of a case. |
| Approach: | They propose a knowledge-enhanced approach that incorporates 'label-level knowledge' to enhance the representation of case facts for each task and 'task-level' knowledge to improve synergy. |
| Outcome: | The proposed method is effective in comparison to state-of-the-art (SOTA) baselines. |
Legal Judgment Prediction via Topological Learning (D18-1)
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| Challenge: | Existing studies focus on a specific subtask of judgment prediction and ignore the dependencies among subtasks. |
| Approach: | They propose a topological multi-task learning framework that incorporates multiple subtasks and DAG dependencies into judgment prediction. |
| Outcome: | The proposed model improves on baselines on all judgment prediction tasks. |
Chinese Court Simulation with LLM-Based Agents System (2026.findings-acl)
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Kaiyuan Zhang, Jiaqi Li, Yueyue Wu, Haitao Li, Cheng Luo, Shaokun Zou, Yujia Zhou, Weihang Su, Yiqun Liu, Qingyao Ai
| Challenge: | Existing studies have neglected the systematic design and procedure evaluation of court simulations, which are critical to the credibility and usage of court simulators in practice. |
| Approach: | They propose a court simulation paradigm based on the real-world procedure structure of Chinese courts and a framework that focuses on both legal judgment prediction and court procedure analysis. |
| Outcome: | The proposed model outperforms judges and lawyers from the real trials in many aspects. |
Corpus for Automatic Structuring of Legal Documents (2022.lrec-1)
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Prathamesh Kalamkar, Aman Tiwari, Astha Agarwal, Saurabh Karn, Smita Gupta, Vivek Raghavan, Ashutosh Modi
| Challenge: | In populous countries, pending legal cases are growing exponentially. |
| Approach: | They propose a corpus of legal judgment documents in English that is annotated with a label coming from a list of pre-defined rhetorical roles. |
| Outcome: | The proposed corpus of legal judgment documents is annotated with a label coming from a list of pre-defined rhetorical roles. |
A Comprehensive Evaluation of Large Language Models on Legal Judgment Prediction (2023.findings-emnlp)
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| Challenge: | Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated great potential for domain-specific applications, such as the law domain. |
| Approach: | They propose a framework to investigate LLMs' competence in the law domain by using similar cases and multi-choice options. |
| Outcome: | The proposed solutions can be extended to other domains to facilitate evaluations in other domain. |
Text Classification and Prediction in the Legal Domain (2022.lrec-1)
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| Challenge: | a case study combines text classification and legal judgment prediction for flight compensation . a human-in-the-loop model outperformed human prediction when predicting a claim being successful . |
| Approach: | They combine transformer-based classification models with human-in-the-loop data to classify airlines' responses to flight compensation claims. |
| Outcome: | The proposed models outperform human prediction when predicting a legal claim success. |
NYAYAANUMANA and INLEGALLLAMA: The Largest Indian Legal Judgment Prediction Dataset and Specialized Language Model for Enhanced Decision Analysis (2025.coling-main)
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Shubham Kumar Nigam, Deepak Patnaik Balaramamahanthi, Shivam Mishra, Noel Shallum, Kripabandhu Ghosh, Arnab Bhattacharya
| Challenge: | In India, a significant backlog of cases burdens the legal system. |
| Approach: | They present a corpus of 7,02,945 preprocessed Indian legal cases compiled for LJP . they use a domain-specific generative large language model tailored to the intricacies of the legal system . |
| Outcome: | The proposed dataset surpasses existing datasets like PredEx and ILDC, and improves prediction accuracy and comprehensible explanations. |
Exploiting Contrastive Learning and Numerical Evidence for Confusing Legal Judgment Prediction (2023.findings-emnlp)
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| Challenge: | Existing studies fail to distinguish different classification errors with a standard cross-entropy classification loss and ignore the numbers in the fact description for predicting the term of penalty. |
| Approach: | They propose to extract crime amounts from fact description and use them to learn distinguishable representations to exploit the numbers in the fact description for predicting the term of penalty. |
| Outcome: | The proposed method achieves state-of-the-art results on real-world datasets and ablation studies demonstrate the effectiveness of each component. |
Less is More: Knowledge-Aware Compression for Long Legal Judgment Prediction (2026.findings-acl)
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| Challenge: | Recent advances leverage large language models (LLMs) for legal reasoning, but they face high computational costs and information degradation when handling long cases. |
| Approach: | They propose a framework that selectively retains legally relevant information while reducing redundant or less informative content, enabling efficient and accurate long-context reasoning. |
| Outcome: | The proposed framework outperforms existing methods on four real-world datasets spanning multiple jurisdictions and languages. |